The PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Championship Course for the Arnold Palmer Invitational this week. Below is a breakdown of Taylor’s @Sgrignoli3 rankings model formula, the course stats being focused on at Bay Hill, and, as always, this week’s top 30 fantasy golf rankings.
Rankings model breakdown
The “Course Stats Rank” incorporates a wide range of player statistics, each individually weighted. This range includes the past 4, 8, 12, 24, 50 and 100 rounds played.
This week’s weighted course statistics for the Arnold Palmer Invitational include:
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Strokes Gained: Tee to Green
- Birdie or Better Gained
- Strokes Gained: Putting
- Strokes Gained: Par 5
“Current Form Rank” is derived from the average number of Strokes Gained: Total per tournament played this season.
“Course History Rank” is derived from the average number of Strokes Gained: Total per year played at this event/course. *Several players may not have course history so their course history weight percentage has been shifted to current form.
The newly added “Prestige Rank” column was back-tested and has consistently shown positive results. “Prestige Rank” is derived from a combination of current Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) and Vegas odds to win the week’s event.
The “PAS Power Index” is generated by calculating and combining the categories mentioned above: course stats (weighted at 40%), *NEW* current form (weighted at 25%), course history (weighted at 10%) and *NEW” prestige rank (weighted at 25%).
Top 30 Fantasy Golf Rankings | Arnold Palmer Invitational