The PGA Tour begins its Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic at PGA National Golf Course. Below is a brief outline of the model components used in developing the weekly projections provided. Also, this week’s top 30 fantasy golf rankings for the Honda Classic.
Rankings Model Breakdown
Each week, Taylor @Sgrignoli3 and I discuss which statistical categories we feel are most important for the upcoming tournament then weight those stats accordingly.
The “Course Stats Rank” incorporates a wide range of player statistics, each individually weighted. This range includes the past 4, 8, 12, 24, 50 and 100 rounds played.
This week’s weighted course statistics for the Honda Classic include:
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Strokes Gained: Tee to Green
- Birdie or Better Gained
- Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
- Bogey Avoidance
“Current Form Rank” is derived from the average number of Strokes Gained: Total per tournament played this season.
“Course History Rank” is derived from the average number of Strokes Gained: Total per year played at this event/course. *Several players may not have course history so their course history weight percentage has been shifted to current form.
The newly added “Prestige Rank” column was back-tested and had a back-to-back weeks of positive results. “Prestige Rank” is derived from a combination of current Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) and Vegas odds to win the week’s event.
The “PAS Power Index” is generated by calculating and combining the categories mentioned above: course statistics (weighted at 45%), *NEW* recent form (weighted at 30%), course history (weighted at 10%) and *NEW” prestige rank (weighted at 15%).
Top 30 Fantasy Golf Rankings | Honda Classic