The year’s second major begins Thursday this week. Here are our US Open fantasy golf rankings, top One and Done fantasy league options and betting odds I may or may not have action on.
St. Jude Classic finishes
Daniel Berger fired back-to-back rounds of 66 (-4) on the weekend to defend his title at TPC Southwind. It was an exciting ending for Berger who now has two PGA Tour victories.
10 out of our top 25 ranked golfers finished the St. Jude Classic in 37th place or better, with 5 finishing in in the top ten. This list includes:
Rank Player Finish
1 F. Molinari T24
2 K. Stanley T27
5 D. Berger 1 (Won)
6 C. Reavie T4
8 A. Scott T10
12 L. List T18
13 B. Horschel T4
15 S. Cink T10
18 R. Knox T37
21 G. McDowell T27
US Open Breakdown
As you’re probably well aware by now, Erin Hills is a beast of a course. Measuring about 7,700 yards (give or take a few feet), the links-style course is going to play incredibly long…even longer if the rainy forecast is properly predicted.
All four of the par 5’s can and will be measured over 600 yards at least once out of the four rounds, and four of the par 4’s will play over 500 yards. This is why many believe Erin Hills is a bombers course. A somewhat saving grace is the short, and possibly drivable, par 4 15th hole.
Although fairways are wide, missing too far left or right is a big no-no. The waist-high fescue will come into play if golfers are spraying the ball. I cannot wait to see some of the best in the world try to hack their way out of the fescue. It will be self-satisfying to watch.
Enough about me. Dustin Johnson captured his first career major at last year’s US Open. Johnson, who hasn’t quite been himself after “falling down the stairs” and withdrawing from the Masters, is once again the favorite to win.
When constructing my fantasy golf lineup, I will be looking at some of the longer hitters in the field, but I think ball striking and approach shots from 200+ yards are good stats to consider as well. There are some very good players listed in the $6,600-7,500 price range on DraftKings this week. If you’re inputting multiple lineups, and especially if you get in the millionaire contest, you will likely need 2-3 solid performers from this range. Hopefully our rankings will help you determine which golfers to roster.
US Open Fantasy Golf Rankings
The US Open fantasy golf rankings are provided by @Sgrignoli3 – PAS contributor and statistician. The rankings are derived from year-to-date player statistics extracted from PGATour.com. The weighted stats for this event can be found below the rankings. Player salaries are based off of DraftKings.com. The right end column has a variance between DraftKings and Vegas odds.
**Disclaimer: PGATour.com is used as source for all player statistics. Stats are extracted on Mondays of tournament week and calculated for rankings by our statistical expert. If there happens to be a numerical error, blame them not us. Also, European Tour statistics are NOT included in the rankings calculations.
The top weighted player statistics for the US Open are:
- Strokes Gained: Approach = 20%
- Birdie or Better % = 20%
- Strokes Gained: Off the Tee = 20%
- Strokes Gained: Around the Green = 20%
- Bogey Avoidance = 10%
- Strokes Gained: Putting = 10%
According to the model, Marc Leishman, Pat Perez, Francesco Molinari and Kevin Kisner are the best valued DraftKings plays in our top 25 this week when compared to Vegas odds.
US Open One and Done league options
My top 3 One and Done options for the Memorial Tournament:
- Jon Rahm
- Rickie Fowler
- Jason Day
Already used: Brandt Snedeker, Dustin Johnson, Adam Scott, Bill Haas, Charles Howell III, Henrik Stenson, Rory McIlroy, Russell Henley, Jordan Spieth, Kevin Kisner, Branden Grace, Daniel Berger, Francesco Molinari, Sergio Garcia, Charley Hoffman, Jason Dufner, Tony Finau, Phil Mickelson
Year-to-Date earnings = $4,013,160
US Open Betting Odds
Here is the action I have as of Tuesday afternoon. Be sure to check out my Twitter @Eddie_ThePAS prior to Thursday morning for my final bets of the week.
First Round Leader:
- Hoffman +10000
- Steele +10000
- Perez +10000
- McDowell +10000
- Lingmerth +12500
- Coetzee +15000
- Niebrugge +15000
- BEEF +15000
- Stone +20000
- Randolph +25000
To Win:
- Rahm +2200
- Rose +2500
- Fowler +2800
- Grace +4800
- Oosty +6600
- Chappell +7500
- Molinari +12500
- Wiesberger +17500
- Hoffman +22500
- Perez +25000
- Steele +36500
- Vegas +70000
Finish Top 20:
- McDowell +550